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美股漲勢暫緩,歐洲央行超預期購債

關鍵字:美股漲勢暫緩

由於美元持續三個月保持低位,同時歐洲央行宣佈,所購買的債券規模遠超于於其,市場的風險偏好降溫,避險情緒升溫,同時歐美股市的上漲較為艱難,也提振了黃金的避險需求,現貨黃金出現明顯上漲。

歐洲央行宣佈將大流行病緊急資產購買計畫(PEPP)擴大6000億歐元,高於市場預期的5000億歐元,使其總規模達到1.35億歐元。歐央行決議稱,PEPP至少延長至2021年6月,並將在2022年年底前將重新投資PEPP債券。歐洲央行指出,無論如何,歐洲央行都將在緊急抗疫購債計畫下進行淨資產購買,直到判斷出疫情危機已經結束。分析師表示,歐洲央行擴大其債券購買計畫“對黃金是大利好”;他談到最近的價格下跌時說:“任何回檔都是買入機會”。

分析師稱:“對歐洲央行擴大刺激政策規模的最初反應是積極的,風險資產普遍上揚,黃金價格走軟,但其債權投資計畫可能意味著這將是金融市場看到的最後一次大舉擴大刺激規模的行動了。

COMEX 8月黃金期貨收漲22.60美元,漲幅1.3%,報1724.40美元/盎司。標普500指數有望五天來首日下跌,因投資者在經濟快速復蘇預期和貿易紛爭加劇等風險之間進行權衡。紐市尾盤,納指、標普500指數一度跌逾1%,道指跌近190點。

美國4月貿易逆差大幅擴大,因新冠疫情打擊了全球商品和服務流動,將美國出口推至10年來最低水準。該資料重新點燃了人們對經濟放緩的擔憂。美元指數也持於約三個月最低水準附近,使得黃金對持有其他貨幣的投資者來說更便宜。

分析師指出,如果美股轉而下跌,黃金價格都將獲得提振。事實上,整個大宗商品中,黃金無疑是最為顯眼的一個;在激進的財政和貨幣刺激下,黃金會成為最可能獲益的資產。全球經濟陷入衰退中可能把黃金推至歷史高位即1900上方;另外,貿易問題也是能夠利好黃金的因素。


本文來源: 大田環球貴金屬

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