市场对黄金交易的兴趣持续增加
关键词：市场对黄金兴趣增加
2月26日，现货黄金价格从本周低位开始反弹，曾一度回升近20美元，市场对公共卫生事件的担忧提高了对央行降息的预期，市场资金不断流入黄金市场以求避险，表明投资者对黄金的兴趣持续增加。
除了避险需求，越来越多的人预期增长将因疫情扩散而减缓且美联储将采取行动。市场上充斥着利多消息。我认为我们看到一些参与者在这个水平上进行获利了结…尤其是多头。
目前金价在100小时均线1646.79附近波动，上看1652.93，若突破该水平则将进一步走高；下方支撑位在1635.16，若现货黄金跌破该水平则可能导致投资者更为激进地卖出，双底形态位于1625水平。
今年上半年黄金市场有诸多支撑，将能触及1700美元/盎司大关。该行将三个月金价预期从1550上调至1650水平。不过下半年金价有下行修正的风险。全球经济增长的复苏以及实际利率从负值回升会使得金价承压，在这种情况下，黄金会有下行风险。
近期市场的大量避险情绪之下，黄金和美元指数一同走高，而在美股此前的强劲表现下，黄金也同样上涨；在市场充斥着不确定性的情况下，黄金是极佳的对冲风险和多样化选择，尤其在实际利率处在负值的情况下。因此上半年黄金市场将受到支撑。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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