欧盟面临巨大财政缺口，欧元或大幅下跌
关键词：欧盟面临巨大财政缺口
2月20日，欧元兑美元创下新低，由于欧元区经济受到冲击，同时英国和欧盟的谈判并不乐观，加上英国脱离欧盟后，欧盟会失去经济强劲地成员国，同时欧盟未来将承受巨大的财政缺口。
英国已于1月31日离开欧盟，离开欧盟后，在未来七年内，欧盟将面临约550亿英镑(713亿美元)的财政缺口。欧盟的预算用于资助整个欧盟的政策，范围从发展农村地区、安全和促进人权。然而，欧盟国家很难弄清楚应该为不同的政策目标分配多少资金。
一直是欧盟主要贡献者之一的英国于1月31日离开欧盟。在过去几年里，英国每年对欧盟的净贡献约为78亿英镑，在英国退出后，欧盟在未来七年内将面临约550亿英镑(713亿美元)的资金缺口。
剩下的27个欧盟国家现在正在挠头，试图找到弥补差距的方法。在周四召开的紧急会议上，欧盟领导人将寻求就下一份预算达成一致，但预计在向欧盟支付最多款项的国家和向欧盟提供最多资金的国家之间，将会有漫长而艰巨的斗争。
以为欧盟官员表示随着时间的推移，情况不会好转。由于英国脱欧，欧盟面临着600亿到750亿欧元(647 – 810亿美元)的缺口，面临着新的挑战和新的优先事项。欧盟成员国预算紧张，因此需要现实一点。
有15个国家不希望缩减预算，包括葡萄牙、波兰、西班牙和希腊。这个团体被称为“凝聚力之友”，因为它反对削减所谓的凝聚力基金——该基金支持那些人均国民收入低于欧盟平均水平90%的成员。
几乎没有什么因素可以推动欧元短期内反弹。欧洲央行的负利率及其在国内市场上购买公司债券的行为，迫使欧洲投资者通过新兴市场借款人发行的欧元计价债券或美元计价资产寻求正回报。由于美国和德国之间的主权债收益率差接近2个百分点，这种需求不太可能很快消失。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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