国际原油价格对炒黄金的影响
关键字：国际原油价格对炒黄金的影响
国际原油价格对炒黄金有什么影响？原油和黄金同为全球性大宗商品，一般来看，原油价格和黄金价格呈现正向升跌的关系，原油价格上涨意味通胀率提升，黄金保值性凸显，但是原油与黄金之间的传统正向关系，在2008年9月金融危机爆发之后，就被打破了，即造成黄金涨，原油跌的反向局面。
由于原油作为一种重要的工业生产原料，其价格波动对全球经济发展有着直接性影响，若原油价格上涨，意外着工业生产成本上升，则促使成品销售价格上升，在货币价值尺度不变的情况下，制造业产生的上游成本上涨直接拉动下游的销售成本，从而导致物价普涨，容易引发通膨危机，而黄金恰好是对冲通货膨胀最好的投资工具，所以当国际原油价格上涨时，也推动黄金价格上涨，炒黄金以多头思路为主。
对于全球最大的经济强国美国而言，其原油消费量位列世界第一，故对原油的需求增加，自然促进原油价格上涨，这是由原油的商品属性确定的，但原油价格上涨幅度在投资需求降温的时候，升势较为缓慢，而原油消费量的增加，一定程度反映美国经济增速加快，黄金作为低风险资产将逐渐被股债产品所取代，对金价构成打压，炒黄金以空头思路为主。
一般来说，油价出现瞬间大幅跳涨或下跌，背后必然有对经济环境产生动荡的事件发生，如中东地区伊拉克国家的武装份子叛变，控制了当地的重要油田生产地，导致油价短时飙涨，从而引发全球性的通膨危机，因伊拉克为全球较为重要的原油供应国，当中东局势得以稳定时，原油价格从高位逐渐回落，现货黄金也在经历地缘政治险事件以后呈现冲高回落的走势。原油价格的走高，由此带来的投资者对于经济增长不稳定及高通胀预期的担忧，将为黄金价格上涨带来避险支持。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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