美联储维持利率，金价重回4500关口
昨日现货黄金价格于4618一线位置开盘，日内金价最高反弹至4620附近，最低回落至4514一线，最终收于4522一线附近位置。昨日现货黄金价格呈现震荡回落走势，录得大实体阴线k线新娘柜台，尽管今日价格有所反弹，但整体依然疲态尽显。
美联储6月维持利率不变的概率为95.2%
据CME“美联储观察”：美联储到6月维持利率不变的概率为95.2%，累计降息25个基点的概率为4.8%。美联储到7月维持利率不变的概率为92.2%，累计降息25个基点的概率为7.7%，累计降息50个基点的概率为0.2%。美联储到9月维持利率不变的概率为86.1%，累计降息25个基点的概率为13.2%，累计降息50个基点的概率为0.6%。
伊朗军方称对美驱逐舰进行了警告射击
伊朗军方4日发表声明说，当天，美军驱逐舰在阿曼湾关闭雷达，试图接近霍尔木兹海峡，但在重新开启雷达后，立即遭到伊朗海军的无线电警告。 伊朗军方说，在美军驱逐舰无视初次警告后，伊朗海军在敌方船只附近进行了警告射击，包括发射巡航导弹、火箭弹和无人机。
特朗普拒绝确认美伊停火协议是否仍然有效
当地时间5月4日，美国总统特朗普在接受采访时拒绝明确说明美伊之间的停火协议是否仍然有效。在被问及停火是否已经结束以及军事打击是否可能恢复时，特朗普表示：“我不能告诉你这个。如果我回答了，你会说这个人不够聪明当总统。”当天稍早，特朗普在接受采访时警告称，如果伊朗试图在霍尔木兹海峡或波斯湾攻击美国船只，“将被彻底摧毁”。但他随后又表示，从军事角度看，与伊朗的战事“基本已经结束”。
美情报部门：近期战事并未显著拖慢伊朗的核计划进程
美国情报部门表示，近期战事并未显著拖慢伊朗的核计划进程。美方官员仍评估认为，倘若伊朗决意研发核武器，仍需约 9 至 12 个月时间，这一预估时长与去年基本持平。伊朗的高浓缩铀储备基本完好无损，且去向未明。专家称，这批铀储备是研判其造核武时间表的关键因素。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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