停火期限即将到来，金价冲上4800关口
昨日现货黄金价格于4780一线附近开盘，日内最低回踩至4736一线，最高反弹至4827附近，最终收于4800一线附近位置。昨日金价跳空低开，开盘后持续震荡走高，最终于4800整数关口附近位置收盘，今日价格进一步反弹，但在上方承压，现阶段重新测试4800整数关口支撑效果。
美联储4月维持利率不变的概率为100%，年内至少降息一次概率的概率为46.9%
美联储4月加息25个基点的概率为0%，维持利率不变的概率为100%。美联储到6月累计降息25个基点的概率为2.5%，维持利率不变的概率为97.5%。美联储到12月累计降息25个基点的概率为46.9%，维持利率不变的概率为53.1%。
伊朗议会议长：伊朗不接受在威胁阴影下的谈判
当地时间21日凌晨，伊朗伊斯兰议会议长卡利巴夫发布消息称，美国总统特朗普通过实施封锁和违反停火协议，“妄图将这场谈判桌变成投降桌”，或为再次挑起战争找借口。卡利巴夫强调，“伊朗不接受在威胁阴影下的谈判”，并表示在过去两周内，伊朗已经为在战场上“亮出新牌”做好了准备。
伊朗最高领袖再度强调三项核心立场
当地时间20日，伊朗最高领袖穆杰塔巴·哈梅内伊再次重申了包含“战争赔偿”诉求在内的三项核心立场，着重指出要坚决维护国家权益。穆杰塔巴官方社交媒体账号发布消息称，伊朗会追究对其发动袭击的责任主体，并索赔战事带来的损失；推动霍尔木兹海峡的管理迈向新的阶段；同时，绝不放弃自身正当权利，并且把本地区所有“抵抗阵线”视作一个统一的整体。本月9日，穆杰塔巴曾就伊朗前任最高领袖阿里·哈梅内伊殉难四十天以及当前战事等相关议题发表书面讲话，首次提出了上述三点主张。
停火期限将至 美国单方面“敲定”谈判日 伊朗仍未点头赴会
美国和伊朗于北京时间4月8日开始停火两周，此轮停火将于22日截止。截至目前，围绕美国与伊朗的第二轮会谈能否在停火协议结束前顺利举行，仍未出现明确进展。美国方面消息称“按计划要举行会谈”，但伊朗方面表示尚未决定是否参与谈判，谈判在最后关头仍充满不确定。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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