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金价强势反弹结束 转向下跌

关键字:金价反弹、金价下跌

部分投资者获利了结后撤离黄金市场
黄金阁
支撑位:1300美元
阻力位:1350美元
买入位:1225美元
由于新公布美国经济数据向好,本周三到本周四,国际金价纽约市场结束了连续4天的上涨走势,大幅度回落至1312美元低位,单日回落幅度达到了2.5%。
新公布美国经济数据不支持量化宽松货币政策延续。美国6月新屋销售触及5年高位,且7月制造业活动加速,均提升市场对美国三季度经济增速加快的预期,美元趁势扩大涨幅,部分投资者获利了结后撤离黄金市场。
虽然近期开始有机构看涨未来金市,国际投行不改看空后市的态度。高盛集团最新报告认为:预计2013年黄金均价为1413美元/盎司,2014年均价为1165美元/盎司,与此前预期持平;2014年年底之前金价可能触及1050美元/盎司。ETF近期小步减仓,本周四黄金持仓维持低位。
技术面来看,本周四下跌,让金价脱离了短线上涨的通道,金叉背离,强势反弹已经结束,未来不可确定性增强,需要测试1300美元一线的支撑力。在此情况下,前期做多的投资者应减仓规避风险,其余投资者多观望,秉承逢高做空思路。

 

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