现货黄金维持稳定，美国CPI超出预期
关键词：现货黄金维持稳定
9月11日，美国公布了市场比较关注的8月核心CPI数据，该数据表现结果超出市场预期，对美元指数有所利好，但由于现货黄金仍有较多因素支撑，总体波动并不算太大，目前维持稳定。
具体数据显示，美国8月未季调核心CPI年率实际公布1.70%，预期1.6%，前值1.6%；美国8月未季调CPI年率实际公布1.30%，预期1.2%，前值1%；美国8月未季调CPI指数实际公布259.92，预期259.6，前值259.1。
疫情对美国通胀的需求冲击主要体现在大宗商品和非必需品消费上，必需品消费通胀在疫情期间需求仍在上升。从CPI分项同比看，并非所有行业的CPI均受疫情影响出现下跌，部分行业CPI同比仍在大幅上升。其中，能源、交通运输价格受全球需求下滑以及疫情防控带来的物理阻隔影响大幅下跌，平均跌幅接近或超过10%。医疗保健、食品饮料、住宅（租金）、教育通信等必需品消费CPI同比仍在大幅上涨。
8月27日，美联储发布新闻稿概述其长期目标和货币政策策略的变动。FOMC一致通过了其关于“长期目标和货币政策战略”的更新，阐明了其对货币政策最新态度。此次FOMC宣布一项重大的策略转变，调整其实现长期通胀目标在2%的策略，今后将转向以平均通胀水平为目标，即美联储更加倾向于在下一轮加息开启之前允许通胀率高于原来设定的2%的通胀目标。
此前美联储鲍威尔表示，美国8月非农就业报告“不错”，但指出由于就业增长可能放缓，美联储计划未来数年保持宽松货币政策。鲍威尔称，在较长一段时间内，经济将需要低利率，低利率能够支持经济活动。这个时间框架将是数年。不管需要多长时间，都会这样做。
分析师指出，今年美国经济遭受的重创最终将为通胀的上升奠定基础。也就是所谓的“基数效应”，即在同比口径下，由于上一年度经济数据因某些因素出现偏低或偏高，使本年数据出现高增长或大幅下降的情况。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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