日元脱离6周低位
周五(7月22日)亚太时段,日元兑美元于6周低点上方附近徘徊,此前日本央行(BOJ)行长黑田东彦讲话降低了对日本或准备采取“直升机撒钱”的激进方式来刺激经济的揣测。
日元兑美元自上一交易日触及的6周低点107.49反弹,目前涨至105.85附近。
日元这波反弹是由黑田接受英国广播公司(BBC)Radio 4访问时发表的言论引发。其接受采访时排除“直升机撒钱”作为货币刺激措施。
鉴于日本首相安倍晋三正在制定规模约为1900亿美元的支出方案以提振经济,一些投机者此前押注日本央行可能会对这些额外的支出提供融资。
BBC随后表示,对黑田东彦的访问是在6月中旬进行的。这协助为日元的涨势降温。
但市场对日本央行将在下周五政策会议上采取宽松举措的预期依然强烈,因此限制了日元涨势。
野村证券(Nomura Securities)外汇主管Koichi Takamatsu表示,“显然他的言论并未驱散放松预期。我怀疑市场基本上认为,会扩大上市交易基金(ETF)和房地产投资信托(REIT)购买规模,并降息0.10个百分点。”
目前很少有市场人士会全盘相信相信黑田东彦的言论,他在1月推出负利率政策的前几日还曾公开表示不考虑这种举措。
然而有小部分的市场人士认为,日本央行可能会选择稍晚再放松政策,以节省不断减少的弹药。
日内美元兑其他主要货币企稳,投资者仍在分析英国脱欧对美国经济和美联储(Fed)货币政策会有什么影响。与此同时,美元指数位于96.85附近水平,脱离周三触及的4个月高位97.32。
欧元兑美元变化甚微,周四欧洲央行(ECB)没有立即放宽货币政策,符合市场预期。
目前欧元兑美元位于1.1030附近,略高于本周低位1.0980,但较周四纽约时段尾盘基本持平,周线也几乎持平。
英镑/美元亦近持平于1.3245附近。
此外,日内纽元/美元先跌后涨,暂时小幅反弹。新西兰联储着眼于纽元高企且通胀位于危险的低水平,表明未来有可能进一步降息,导致上一交易日汇价挫跌至6周低位0.6952。
如此一来,市场更加确信新西兰联储将在8月11日开会时决议降息。
本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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