FOMC决议若提出首次加息 将引发全球投资紧张情绪
关键字：FOMC决议若提出首次加息 将引发全球投资紧张情绪
如果美国联邦公开市场委员会(FOMC)周三暗示将按计划采取2006年以来的第一次加息行动，投资者将无法抱怨说他们之前没有被警告过。
然而，尽管两年来美国联邦储备委员会（简称：美联储）一直在小心翼翼地释放加息信号，但在面临这一重要的货币政策调整时，市场的准备似乎还是显得不够充分。
在过去六年期间，各大央行纷纷向市场注入大规模流动性，首先是美联储推出的4万亿美元购债方案，现在日本央行和欧洲央行又在实施类似规模的货币宽松措施，这些举措迫使追求收益的投资者纷纷买入全球各地的风险资产。这使得不同的市场之间形成了更高的关联度，这些市场的区别也变得模糊起来，导致投资者更加难以在价格上达成共识，其中就包括这些央行正在购买的政府债券。
现在，这些资金流面临发生剧烈逆转的风险。近期各种类别的资产市场出现的动荡就说明，随着货币政策开始收紧，全球金融系统可能将面临一连串危险的投资者亏损现象。
量化宽松可能给某些高风险资产带来了流动性，但使原本应该作为其他所有市场基准的债市失去了流动性。
上月就业和零售数据证明美国第一季度经济放缓只是天气因素影响下的暂时现象，这让投资者重新燃起了对美国经济复苏的信心，但这种反弹令巴西、土耳其和印尼等国面临真正的风险。美联储收紧政策和美元上涨让这些国家更难消除庞大的经常项目赤字，使得他们的货币迅速贬值。
而且，这些变化恰好发生在年中交投淡季将进一步削弱市场流动性之前。
无论本周美联储的态度有多么放松，投资者都不应被平静的假象所欺骗。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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