美元指数回调 令现货黄金走势承压无突破
关键字：现货黄金走势
【基本面分析】
昨天金价波幅介乎于1305美元-1329美元。
盘中曾几乎回吐整个议息后的升幅，在1300附近重新找到支持后拾级向上，重回1320上方，短线阻力在1330-1332之间，消息面上市场开始消化美国的债务问题上，金价对此消息会比较正面，要注意美国的主权评级会否因债务上限问题影响。
昨日美国两个经济数据公布：9月份消费者信心指数比预期开差；7月份二十城市楼价指数按年升12.4%，符合预期，并且创2006年2月以来最大按年升幅。
议息过后，圣路易斯储银行长布拉德称，到10月会议的时候，联储局已取得更多经济数据，届时当局可能决定开始少量缩减购债规模，令美汇指数回涌，昨日在美市时段曾升见80.621点，隔日升0.21%，令实物黄金连续3日颇为受压。
国庆长假将至，为避免资金过度抽紧，「钱荒」再现，人民银行昨天逆回购放水880亿。这会对金价有一定的支持。
股市方面，在美国未退市的情况下，大量公司于香港上市集资，可能短期之内将有不少资金流入股海当中。
欧洲方面，德国消费者信心指数是当天的关注重点，数据若也不佳，或进一步提高欧洲央行扩大宽松力度的几率，令欧元承压。
此外，德国新内阁的组建进度，欧洲央行执委阿斯穆森的进一步讲话，和意大利发债的状况，料也会令市场各界密切关注。
【技术分析】
日K线图，现货金收一根十字星小阳线。破低反抽，幅度又将全天的下跌尽数吞没。
运行至此，上，近期基本排除突破1375去1400一线的可能；
那么如果下，未来几日就很大机会破1292去1240了。
从技术分析上来看，日线最初的上升趋势支撑已经被打破，变轨形成新的支撑趋势线。
今日金价预测1313美元-1333美元。
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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