停火期限即將到來，金價沖上4800關口
昨日現貨黃金價格於4780一線附近開盤，日內最低回踩至4736一線，最高反彈至4827附近，最終收於4800一線附近位置。昨日金價跳空低開，開盤後持續震盪走高，最終於4800整數關口附近位置收盤，今日價格進一步反彈，但在上方承壓，現階段重新測試4800整數關口支撐效果。
美聯儲4月維持利率不變的概率為100%，年內至少降息一次概率的概率為46.9%
美聯儲4月加息25個基點的概率為0%，維持利率不變的概率為100%。美聯儲到6月累計降息25個基點的概率為2.5%，維持利率不變的概率為97.5%。美聯儲到12月累計降息25個基點的概率為46.9%，維持利率不變的概率為53.1%。
伊朗議會議長：伊朗不接受在威脅陰影下的談判
當地時間21日淩晨，伊朗伊斯蘭議會議長卡利巴夫發佈消息稱，美國總統特朗普通過實施封鎖和違反停火協議，“妄圖將這場談判桌變成投降桌”，或為再次挑起戰爭找藉口。卡利巴夫強調，“伊朗不接受在威脅陰影下的談判”，並表示在過去兩周內，伊朗已經為在戰場上“亮出新牌”做好了準備。
伊朗最高領袖再度強調三項核心立場
當地時間20日，伊朗最高領袖穆傑塔巴·哈梅內伊再次重申了包含“戰爭賠償”訴求在內的三項核心立場，著重指出要堅決維護國家權益。穆傑塔巴官方社交媒體帳號發佈消息稱，伊朗會追究對其發動襲擊的責任主體，並索賠戰事帶來的損失；推動霍爾木茲海峽的管理邁向新的階段；同時，絕不放棄自身正當權利，並且把本地區所有“抵抗陣線”視作一個統一的整體。本月9日，穆傑塔巴曾就伊朗前任最高領袖阿裏·哈梅內伊殉難四十天以及當前戰事等相關議題發表書面講話，首次提出了上述三點主張。
停火期限將至 美國單方面“敲定”談判日 伊朗仍未點頭赴會
美國和伊朗於北京時間4月8日開始停火兩周，此輪停火將於22日截止。截至目前，圍繞美國與伊朗的第二輪會談能否在停火協議結束前順利舉行，仍未出現明確進展。美國方面消息稱“按計畫要舉行會談”，但伊朗方面表示尚未決定是否參與談判，談判在最後關頭仍充滿不確定。
本文來源： 大田環球貴金屬
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