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现货黄金再度下挫 受通胀压力增大拖累

关键字:本日现货黄金行情

6月16日欧洲时段,国际现货黄金再度出现一轮下滑,日内最低价下挫至1258.85美元/盎司,突破了短期支撑位1260,因美国通胀数据意外走高,打压黄金白银等贵金属的上行动力,使其转为下行,虽美国房产方面的数据逊于预期,但仍未能激发市场的避险情绪,因投资者不急于投资黄金进行对冲风险,另外现时市场焦点为美联储连续两天的FOMC货币政策会议,在会议纪要公布前市场情绪谨慎,金市交投清淡,金价日内收于1270.45美元/盎司,较前一天下滑了1.64美元。

美国5月消费者物价指数上升,从2.0%回升至2.1%,核心CPI年率从1.8%回升至2.0%,。以核心CPI年率衡量,通货膨胀率已经达到央行长期目标,意外走高的通胀数据将提振美元上升,因消息将促使美联储缩减量化宽松的规模以抵御高通胀带来的经济负面影响,短期来看则削弱抗通胀性的资产项目的买入,如黄金白银等。

市场普遍预计,美联储在本日FOMC货币政策会议结束后将宣布把月度购债规模再削减100亿美元。本日晚间FOMC将公布6月利率决议结果,有望为金银价格的未来走向提供更多指引。

伦敦金技术分析上看,日线图上国际金价上试200日均线和2012年10月的下行趋势线1286处失败,继而方向掉头向下,反映短期内存在较大的下行风险,金价将进一步回落测试10和20日均线,若再度下破则打开下行空间。从4小时图来看,多头排列的均线系统开始出现粘合,伦敦金行情陷入弱势整理,附图指标MACD绿色动能柱有所增长,与快慢线运行背离,10日RSI线无明确指引。整体来看,黄金上方空头势能较强,K线走势不明朗,投资者谨防进一步回调的风险。



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