多重利空因素促使现货黄金上涨无力
关键字：本日现货黄金走势
3月24日全天盘面国际现货黄金价格大跌逾2%，为近两个月的最大单日跌幅，金价或从上周触及的六个月高位进一步回撤，盘中录得2月14日以来的最低价1307.54美元，日线图上目前金价已经跌穿自今年一月份涨势以来的上升趋势线。
乌克兰临时总统要求乌军队撤出克里米亚。俄罗斯总统普京业已签署克里米亚共和国加入俄联邦的总统法令，宣布完成了所有入俄法律程序，成立克里米亚联邦区，地缘政治紧张局势致使黄金价格全面回落，避险情绪降温。
印度商业和工业的相关商会(Assocham)东部地区的珠宝和首饰委员会主席Shankar Sen称，由于高进口税，印度西孟加拉州的珠宝商将延迟7到10天的采购。Sen认为，印度政府应该将目前10%的进口关税调低到5%，尤其是在目前印度黄金走私猖獗的情况下。黄金需求因印度提高进口关税而受到抑制。
市场继续受美联储减码和加息信号的发酵，现货黄金价格的抗通胀吸引力一再受到打压，即使美元兑换一篮子货币依旧走势趋平，但随美国经济逐渐复苏和加息信号双重推动下美元或将持续上涨，打压黄金，因美国3月制造业增长和招聘速度依然强劲。
本日需关注美国1月FHFA房价指数、3月里奇蒙德联储制造业指数、2月新屋销售总数及3月谘商会消费者信息指数，若数据比预期开差则打压美元，短期或提振金价。
从4小时图看，黄金目前处于1309至1338区间底部，在受到1309强支撑的支持后，暂时企稳并弱势反弹。因上方均线系统死叉向下发散，后续行情依旧由空头掌控。由于目前黄金弱势行情未变，且反弹较弱，后期大概率将出现冲高回落走势。同时，下方1291-1300区间多重长期均线形成共振支撑带，很难一次性突破成功，故日内可采用高空低吸策略，目标1315，止损1325。
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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