地缘局势有所缓释，金价小幅回落
本周现货黄金于4646一线位置开盘，周内最低回踩至4645附近位置，最高一度将历史高位刷新至4888一线，整体呈现震荡上行走势。尽管日内价格有所回调，但整体上行走势依然没有改变，后市金价仍有进一步拉升的机会。
美联储1月维持利率不变的概率为95%，6月降息概率为61.7%
据CME“美联储观察”：美联储1月降息25个基点的概率为5%，维持利率不变的概率为95%。到3月累计降息25个基点的概率为17.1%，维持利率不变的概率为82.2%，累计降息50个基点的概率为0.7%。到6月维持利率不变的概率为38.3%，累计降息25个基点、50个基点和75个基点的概率分别为45.9%、14.2%、1.6%。
欧盟委员会：欧盟领导人紧急峰会将按计划举行
欧盟委员会发言人21日表示，欧盟领导人紧急峰会将按计划于当地时间22日晚间举行。据称，尽管美国总统特朗普表示不会采取武力夺取格陵兰岛，也不会对部分欧盟国家施加关税，但欧盟方面仍将继续推进相关会议安排。欧盟发言人表示，欧盟与美国在各个层面的接触仍在继续，欧方将采取一切必要措施维护欧盟利益。针对美方关税威胁，成员国仍在就可能的应对措施进行密集磋商。
特朗普：已就格陵兰岛问题形成了协议框架 有关关税不会生效
美国总统特朗普在社媒上表示，根据我与北约秘书长马克·吕特进行的一次非常富有成效的会谈，我们已经初步搭建了关于格陵兰岛乃至整个北极地区的未来协议框架。如果该方案最终达成，将对美国及所有北约成员国都是一个重大利好。基于这一理解，我将不会执行原定于2月1日生效的关税。关于格陵兰岛与“金穹”（The Golden Dome）项目，也正在进行进一步讨论。随着谈判的推进，将会提供更多信息。副总统万斯、国务卿鲁比奥、特使威特科夫及其他相关人员将负责此次谈判——他们将直接向我汇报。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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