黄金创月新高，但仍有意外
金价上涨，并创下近一个月新高至1289.07美元。近期，金价连续走强，一方面由于美元走势疲软。另一方面，也反应市场对于金价明年前景持乐观态度，因股市整体估值偏高，而黄金则仍处于低位。
周三(12月27日)，金价上涨，并创下近一个月新高至1289.07美元。近期，金价连续走强，一方面由于美元走势疲软。另一方面，也反应市场对于金价明年前景持乐观态度，因股市整体估值偏高，而黄金则仍处于低位。现货黄金报1288.07美元/盎司，涨0.39%。
分析师认为，贵金属不仅是作为对冲通胀的工具，同时还可以作为一种流动性或波动性的对冲工具。鉴于2017年全年显著的低波动性特征，2018年这一现象很可能发生反转，届时黄金对冲波动性风险的属性将使其获得市场青睐。
分析师还表示，相较于黄金，更看好白银。因白银拥有贵金属和工业金属双重属性。此外，白银兑换黄金这一比率目前处于低位，表明银价低估程度较大。
分析师也认为，至2018年，料低波动性将结束。市场将面临一个更具挑战性的全球金融环境，如美联储位于收紧路径下，税改造成的不确定性，将导致经济数据和收益数据的更大范围的分散，从而导致更多的波动性。
经济数据方面，美国咨商会公布的数据显示，美国12月谘商会消费者信心指数为122.1，低于预期值128，且较前值128.6回落。尽管数据不及预期，但美国消费者信心仍位于2000年以来的最高水平。数据公布后，美元反应不大。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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