英镑继续挣扎 脱欧冲击致6月跌幅料逾7%
周四(6月30日)亚太时段，美元稍作喘息，但兑一篮子货币仍守在英国公投退欧后触及的3个半月高点附近，与此同时备受打击的英镑则是持续挣扎。
日内美元指数小幅上涨0.1%至95.85附近水平，月线料下跌0.1%。
尽管美元从英国退欧后全球市场避险热潮中受益颇多，但对于年内美联储（FED）升息预期的降温，削弱了美元涨势。
利率期货显示，交易商预计至少到2018年初，美联储都将维持政策不变，甚至可能会降息。
美元指数周一高见96.70，当日由于英国公投决定退欧导致市场动荡，英镑重挫至31年低位。
日内英镑兑美元下跌0.2%至1.3395附近，远高于周一低位1.3126，但本月仍可能跌逾7%。
与此同时，欧元兑英镑基本持平于0.8285，缓慢脱离周一所触及的逾2年高点0.8380。
近期英国政局仍较为混乱，主要反对党工党和执政党保守党都在争夺各党党魁宝座。
日本外务省称，首相安倍晋三将分别与英国首相卡梅伦和德国总理默克尔通电话。
本交易日欧元依然承压，兑美元下跌0.2%至1.1100附近，但仍远高于上周五触及的3个半月低点1.0912，本月仅累计下跌0.3%。
与此同时，美元兑避险货币日元持稳于102.80，远高于上周五市场剧烈波动时触及的2年半低点99.00。
该货币对月线预计仍将下跌逾7%。
日元在全球风险升高时有大涨的趋势，这令日本政府感到头痛，经济也因此受到落入衰退的威胁。
稍早公布的数据显示，日本5月工业生产下滑至2013年6月以来最低，并创3个月最大降幅，这凸显出对出口下降以及消费者支出疲弱的担忧。
此外，日内澳元兑美元下滑逾0.3%至0.7420附近，但仍远离英国公投结果出炉后触及的低点。英国脱欧公投结果打压澳元，上周五自0.7650跌至0.7305低点。
澳元/美元6月仍录得2.8%的涨幅。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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