投行看好后市 黄金弱势整理
截止至本日北京时间15:00，国际现货黄金价格为1246.53美元/盎司，最高价为1247.33美元，最低价为1241.59美元，上升了2.04美元，涨幅为0.16%。
本年四季度金价或重回千三：著名投行美银美林在最新报告中把今年第三季度黄金均价确定在1250美元/盎司，同时第四季度黄金均价上调至1300美元/盎司，美银美林认为近期黄金已经回吐了今年所积累的绝大部分涨幅，在低位反弹的时机将要到来。虽然现阶段市场看空情绪十分强烈，但美银美林分析印度新一界政府将会逐步放宽黄金进口管制，在印度地区的实物黄金需求带动下国际金价将获得提振，与此同时，如果中国及美国经济出现增长放缓，将导致一些周期性的大宗商品受压，国际金价有望打开上行空间。
欧洲地区央行售金意愿减弱：据外媒最新报道，央行售金协议截止至今年的5月19日已经签订了四期，在新一期的协议中，并没有在即将结束的第三期总售金数量上规定售金上限，改成了缔约国目前没有任何计划出售大量黄金，这说明欧洲央行的售金意愿减弱，欧洲各国央行已经从黄金供给方转变成需求方。自08年金融危机发生后，各国央行开始重视黄金储备，同时一些国家央行的黄金储备规模出现大幅下降，侧面上反映欧洲央行想通过经济增长改善财政赤字而非售金，所以国际金价经历本轮的大跌过后将有筑底反弹机会。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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