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黄金连跌两周 后市看跌

纽约商品交易所黄金期货市场4月黄金期价328日收于每盎司1293.5 美元,比前一交易日上涨2.28美元,涨幅为0.18%。白银期货上涨0.61%,报每盎司19.81美元。

黄金连跌两周 反弹无力:金价周五在触及1,300美元之下的六周低位后反弹依然无力,黄金价格已经连跌两周,因美国经济前景改善推高美元,并提振风险意愿。在过去九个交易日中,金价走势震荡,从六个月高位回落约100美元,因地缘政治紧张局势缓解,美国经济数据强劲,以及美国联邦储备委员会(FED/美联储)主席耶伦暗示可能在明年上半年升息,而低利率是近几年推高金价的重要因素。由中长期上讲,推动黄金上涨的因素已经开始消息,预计短期内黄金价格会延续低迷走势。

实货市场观望气氛浓厚:实货市场,交易商称需求增加的可能性不大,因近期金价大跌,他们仍持谨慎态度,另外消费者看似对金价未来走向仍不确定。全球最大黄金消费国中国的黄金价格仍低于伦敦现货金价,暗示缺乏新需求。由于国际市场上黄金价格在近期不断走低,在前景不明的情况下,商家大多持观望态度,在没有明确的见底信号出现之前,建议投资者暂时以观望为主。


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