伦敦金跳升 美元回落
伦敦金早上开盘价为1264.1美元/盎司,截止至北京时间2014年1月24日11:00,伦敦金报价1261美元/盎司,高价为1264.85美元,低价为1259.63美元,波幅为5.22美元。
美国经济数据:美国上周初请失业金人数为32.6万,低于市场预期33万,初请四周均值继续下降0.375万至33.15万,创六周新低,后者更能反应长期趋势变化。初请失业金是美国就业市的领先指标,初请持续改善显示美国就业市场并未恶化,12月非农报告可能只是“异常值 (统计学术语) ”。美国1月Markit制造业PMI初值从55降至53.7,低于市场预期54.5,显示制造业扩张速度在2014年初有所放缓。美国数据并未显著影响市场走势,北美时段继续关注美国12月咨商会经济领先指标,11月咨商会领先指标上升0.8%至98.3,连续数周全面改善,暗示美国经济增长动能有望在2014年上半年进一步增强,若12月数据符合或高于预期,则有望为美元提供短期支持,意外走弱的结果无疑加重美元回落风险,并提振贵金属进一步反弹。
GFMS:2014年金价将跌13% 但仅为暂时性:汤姆森路透黄金矿业公司(Thomson Reuters GFMS)周四(1月23日)报告指出,预计2014年黄金均价为1,225美元/盎司,全年将下跌13%。GFMS金属研究展望部门负责人Rhona O`Connell表示,尽管近期金价的整固有机会令金价在本季结束前挑战1,330美元,不过,一旦第二季投资者开始撤离黄金市场,金价很有可能在下半年(第三季)跌向1,000美元;只是届时实物金需求也将大幅走强,足以帮助金价从低位反弹,因此这样的下探仅仅是暂时。
本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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