金价反弹 预期持续上扬
伦敦金早上开盘价为1252美元/盎司，截止至北京时间2014年1月13日11:00，伦敦金报价1251.5美元/盎司，高价为1254.8美元，低价为1246.9美元，波幅为7.9美元。金价强劲反弹走高，到周一亚市金价进一步上扬，现已经突破至1250美元/盎司上方，暂时报于1251美元/盎司附近。
美国非农就业数据大失所望：美国12月非农新增就业7.4万，道琼斯和彭博通讯社调查的经济学家给出的预测中值为19万，11月非农从20.3万上修至24.1万。12月失业率从7.0%降至6.7%，市场参与者此前普遍预期维持在7.0%，然而这并非就业市场加速改善的有效信号，而是就业参与率显著下降的结果，12月劳动力参与率降至62.8%，创35年最低水平。从9月至11月美国就业指标持续快速改善，显著提振了投资者对美国经济和就业前景的乐观信心，美联储也因此在12月利率决议中兑现QE削减承诺。
预期美联储将维持当前月购资产减少规模：华尔街分析普遍认为天气是12月就业增长疲弱的罪魁祸首，认为失业率下降有劳动力减少的影响，不能视为绝对利好。有经济学家认为，美联储可能下调考虑加息的失业率门槛；如这样的失业减少形势持续，美联储的鹰派高官应该会推动加快缩减QE。道明证券美国研究与策略副主管Millan Mulraine：尽管12月数据令人失望，美国2013年全年就业增长仍然强劲，达到220万人，与2012年增幅相似。其他经济指标显示经济活动仍然呈上升势头。实际上，就业市场在好转。不过，还有许多结构问题需要解决。预计美联储会维持当前月购资产规模100亿美元的决定。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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