美元下跌 金银上涨
纽约商品期货交易所（COMEX）2月黄金期货12月9日收盘上涨0.4%，收报每盎司1,234.2美元，美元指数下跌0.1%，3月白银期货上涨0.9%，收报每盎司19.701美元。
全球最大黄金白银ETF持有量持平：全球最大黄金上市交易基金（ETF）–SPDR黄金信托基金（GLD.US）9日黄金持有量持平为835.71公吨。最大的白银ETF–安硕白银指数基金（SLV.US），白银持有量持平为10,304.49公吨。
美联储官员发表看法 倾向削减QE：周一，圣路易斯联储主席Bullard、达拉斯联储主席Fisher、里士满联储主席Lacker就美联储缩减量化宽松(QE)的前景和未来经济走势发表了自己的看法。Bullard就如何平衡就业市场和通胀数据之间的矛盾给出了建议：起初小幅缩减QE，有助于确定劳动力市场的改善，同时可利用2014年上半年的时间密切监视通胀。若通胀未能朝2%的目标水平前进，联储可于随后的会议上暂停缩减QE。Fisher认为联储应尽早缩减QE，QE的成本远大于预期的收益。Lacker认为，明年美国经济增长可能不会有太大起色，但是联储可做的并不多。
前美林首席策略师：2014年金价将跌破1000：前美林首席投资策略师Richard Bernstein，在美林工作二十年后，建立了自己的投资顾问公司Richard Bernstein Advisors（RBA），任首席执行官。投资者常常将黄金作为对冲通胀风险的选择。历史经验也证明，高通胀通常是由强烈信贷增长催生出来。然而，全球发达国家的信贷泡沫正在消散，在没有了信贷刺激之后发达国家的通胀正在持续下降。我们能够理解持有日元的投资者在日本经济再次通胀的预期下对黄金的兴趣会增加，但美元投资者应该更加青睐金融资产而非黄金。我们认为2014年黄金的熊市将会持续，可能会跌破1000美元/盎司。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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