消息面又迎大风浪 避险情绪暂未显露
截止至今日北京时间14:00,国际现货黄金价格为1331.7美元/盎司,日内冲高至1335.7美元/盎司附近,最低下探至1330.2美元/盎司附近;现货白银震荡,报17.01美元/盎司。
本周全球热点不断:美国陷入关门困境,尽管美国众议院考虑就政府融资计划进行投票,但预计效果不理想。尽管政府关门并不会影响一些关键部门的运转,对经济的实际负面影响也有限,但可能对市场情绪产生影响,预计对本已经持续疲软的美元构成进一步打击,黄金等避险品种则可能受到提振。另一方面,日本央行和欧洲央行的利率决议接连来袭,预计对汇市造成持续冲击。相比于已经在2017年加息三次,并将持续收紧政策的美联储来说,日本央行和欧洲央行依旧保持着鸽派的货币政策立场,收紧政策的脚步也相对落后。市场需持续关注这两大央行的表态,其措辞的任何微妙差异都可能令市场改变预期,从而令日元、欧元出现巨大波动。
德国社民党同意开启组阁谈判:欧洲方面,政局的不确定性依旧牵绊着欧元走势,虽然美国政府关门的消息推动欧元兑美元在周一亚市早盘跳空高开近50点,最高触及1.2275,但随后便回吐几乎全部涨幅,现交投于1.2228一线。德国社会民主党(SPD)1月21日进行党内表决,通过开始就组建联合政府与总理默克尔的保守派阵营开始进行正式谈判,数个月来的政治僵局开始朝着稳定的内阁迈进。SPD党代表以362票比279票、一人弃权,通过展开组阁谈判。SPD领袖本月稍早时,已与默克尔阵营就初步联盟蓝图达成共识。
本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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