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中国数据不佳 避险情绪提振金价

截止至本日北京时间14:30,国际现货黄金价格为1235.26美元/盎司,最高价为1236美元,最低价为1226.75美元,上涨了6.17美元,涨幅为0.51%。

中国宽松风险日益加深:中国国家统计局周三公布,11月居民消费价格指数同比上涨1.4%,为2009年11月以来最小升幅;而工业生产者出厂价格指数则同比下降2.7%,为2013年6月以来最大降幅。受国内需求疲软、国际原油价格大跌等影响,中国11月CPI同比涨幅创五年来最低,PPI则创近一年半来最大跌幅。中国在实体经济弱势难以出现根本性扭转之际,日益加深的通缩风险犹需防范,且目前全球经济面临的形势尤为严峻,在货币宽松的环境下,若中国再度降息刺激经济,将触发避险资金流入金市,对国际金价构成利好。

美国原油库存意外增加:美国石油协会数据显示,上周美国原油库存增加440万桶,此前分析师预估为减少220万桶。受供应过剩影响,布兰特油价自6月以来已经下跌40%。石油输出国组织决定不减产后,上个月油价跌幅加深。虽然昨日布兰特原油在触及五年低位后反弹收涨,但鉴于近期石油的产量依然有增无减,因此仍有不少交易商担忧油价有再度走低的可能。所以,虽然金价受避险提振,但油价频跌对金市来说仍像一枚空头回归的炸弹,多头要格外谨慎。


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