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金价短线震荡 关注美联储决议选择方向

截止至今日北京时间14:00整,国际现货黄金报1342.8美元/盎司,亚盘早期于昨晚回撤相对低位窄幅整理后,中期有所走强,但幅度有限。中线走势多空正进行最后争夺,短线偏于弱势。在美联储利率决议和非农数据公布前,市场较为谨慎。鉴于近期黄金走势受美指走势影响严重,后续需重点关注。

美联储利率决议或显鹰派:北京时间周四凌晨3点美联储将公布利率决议,并发表货币政策声明。此次会议将是耶伦作为美联储主席参加的最后一次货币政策会议,无点阵图和经济预测摘要,也没有新闻发布会。一些投行预计,此次美联储的政策声明比去年12月将更加“鹰派”,预计美联储将于3月加息。这或将给美指进一步提升空间。

特朗普国情咨文对市场影响有限:北京时间1月31日10:00,特朗普发表了其任内首份正式的国情咨文,暗示多难兴邦、呼吁淡化两党分歧、肯定美国经济和就业情况并且鼓吹改革政策带来的好处。此外,他还谈到要填补移民政策方面的漏洞,并且增强美国的军事能力。这和特朗普去年国会演说时市场的反应几乎可以说“如出一辙”,对市场影响有限。


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