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料实物金需求改善 金价低位反弹

截止至本日北京时间14:30,国际现货黄金价格为1199.36美元/盎司,最高价为1201.2美元,最低价为1188.8美元,上涨了9.04美元,涨幅为0.84%。

中印黄金需求持续强劲:世界黄金协会市场信息部门经理日前表示,预计明年中国和印度对黄金的需求仍将维持今年强劲的势头,今年全年中印各自的黄金需求量都会达到850吨到950吨。而且,澳新银行称,由于中国和印度的需求将改善,明年黄金价格将有所复苏,认为即使美联储升息,金价仍会上升。因此,从中长期角度审视黄金的基本面仍非常好,黄金市场前景向好,也会对金价提供有力的支撑。

人民币大跌使降息预期浓厚:隔夜美联储会议释出强烈加息信号后,中国人民币兑美元周四早盘遭遇急跌行情,一度逼近至约半年低点后才有所企稳。分析师认为,美元隔夜暴涨、对于中国经济前景的担忧、央行调低人民币中间价的幅度创六周来最大。此前,据路透调查显示,三分之二的分析师预计中国人民银行将在2015年3月降息。有鉴于此,中国银行可能很快就采取降息以刺激经济成长和抑制通缩风险,届时若人民币降息将导致人民币对美元的中间价升高,美元指数受到提振,从而打压以美元计价的黄金。


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